Offense
Run production relative to league average.
BALLPARK FORECAST · MLB
Make every matchup
mean more.
Live model
Data-backed winner and run-total projections. Build your matchup or select directly from today’s board.
LIVE DATA
Today’s board
Schedule, probable pitchers, recent form, injuries, and game-time weather.
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02
—Model forecast
Projected winner
win probability
Projected runs
Likely score
Total selection
How this forecast works
A Poisson scoring model estimates each club’s run distribution using offense, opposing starter ERA, bullpen ERA, park conditions, and a small home-field adjustment. It then compares every possible score.
THE SIGNAL
Five inputs. One transparent call.
Starter
Expected impact of the probable pitcher.
Bullpen
Late-inning run prevention strength.
Environment
Park effects and home-field advantage.